Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
ESPNAI PredictionNDSU @ SAC
Sunday, September 20, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Sacramento State HornetsWIN PROBABILITYNorth Dakota State Bison
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Sacramento State Hornets
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Hornets 50/10050/100 Bison
Sacramento State Hornets
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
North Dakota State Bison
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
SAC rates 50/100 vs NDSU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Hornets 0/1000/100 Bison
Sacramento State Hornets
0-0 (0% win rate)
North Dakota State Bison
0-0 (0% win rate)
SAC is 0-0 vs NDSU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
SAC wins34 – 27
2023
SAC wins27 – 11
2022
NDSU wins41 – 11
2021
NDSU wins38 – 17
2020
SAC wins48 – 32
2019
SAC wins26 – 10
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Sacramento State Hornets
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
North Dakota State Bison
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20, 2:30 AM UTC
Network
ESPN
Stadium
Unknown Stadium