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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
FS1AI PredictionNDSU @ AFA
Sunday, September 13, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Air Force FalconsWIN PROBABILITYNorth Dakota State Bison
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Air Force Falcons
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Falcons 50/10050/100 Bison
Air Force Falcons
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
North Dakota State Bison
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
AFA rates 50/100 vs NDSU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Falcons 0/1000/100 Bison
Air Force Falcons
0-0 (0% win rate)
North Dakota State Bison
0-0 (0% win rate)
AFA is 0-0 vs NDSU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
AFA wins44 – 35
2023
AFA wins35 – 28
2022
NDSU wins25 – 18
2021
NDSU wins34 – 23
2020
AFA wins32 – 28
2019
AFA wins22 – 7
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Air Force Falcons
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
North Dakota State Bison
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 13, 2:00 AM UTC
Network
FS1
Stadium
Unknown Stadium