Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 11
CBSSNAI PredictionNorth Carolina Tar Heels @ CONN
Saturday, November 7, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 57% confidence
UConn HuskiesWIN PROBABILITYNorth Carolina Tar Heels
47%
53%
MODEL PICK
North Carolina Tar Heels
CONFIDENCE
57%
1
Home Edge
3
Neutral
3
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Huskies 50/10061/100 Heels
UConn Huskies
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
North Carolina Tar Heels
61/100 — 43-33 over 6 seasons
CONN rates 50/100 vs North Carolina Tar Heels at 61/100 — a 11-point gap in program quality.
Huskies 0/1000/100 Heels
UConn Huskies
0-0 (0% win rate)
North Carolina Tar Heels
0-0 (0% win rate)
CONN is 0-0 vs North Carolina Tar Heels at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
Heels wins27 – 12
2023
CONN wins46 – 15
2022
Heels wins24 – 16
2021
Heels wins24 – 14
2020
CONN wins25 – 9
2019
CONN wins32 – 16
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
UConn Huskies
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
North Carolina Tar Heels
43-33 overall2019
3-9
2020
8-4
2021
11-3AP #10
2022
9-4
2023
8-5
2024
4-8
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM UTC
Network
CBSSN
Stadium
Unknown Stadium