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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
ESPN+AI PredictionNCCU @ ECU
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
East Carolina PiratesWIN PROBABILITYNorth Carolina Central Eagles
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
East Carolina Pirates
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Pirates 50/10050/100 Eagles
East Carolina Pirates
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
North Carolina Central Eagles
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
ECU rates 50/100 vs NCCU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Pirates 0/1000/100 Eagles
East Carolina Pirates
0-0 (0% win rate)
North Carolina Central Eagles
0-0 (0% win rate)
ECU is 0-0 vs NCCU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
NCCU wins40 – 32
2023
NCCU wins39 – 21
2022
ECU wins21 – 12
2021
ECU wins49 – 10
2020
ECU wins48 – 23
2019
ECU wins33 – 17
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
East Carolina Pirates
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
North Carolina Central Eagles
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium