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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ACC ExtraAI PredictionNORF @ UVA
Friday, September 11, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Virginia CavaliersWIN PROBABILITYNorfolk State Spartans
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Virginia Cavaliers
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Cavaliers 50/10050/100 Spartans
Virginia Cavaliers
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Norfolk State Spartans
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
UVA rates 50/100 vs NORF at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Cavaliers 0/1000/100 Spartans
Virginia Cavaliers
0-0 (0% win rate)
Norfolk State Spartans
0-0 (0% win rate)
UVA is 0-0 vs NORF at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
UVA wins24 – 15
2023
UVA wins27 – 7
2022
UVA wins46 – 22
2021
NORF wins24 – 19
2020
NORF wins24 – 8
2019
UVA wins25 – 9
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Virginia Cavaliers
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Norfolk State Spartans
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Fri, Sep 11, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ACC Extra
Stadium
Unknown Stadium