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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
ESPN2AI PredictionUNM @ OU
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
Oklahoma SoonersWIN PROBABILITYNew Mexico Lobos
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
Oklahoma Sooners
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Sooners 50/10050/100 Lobos
Oklahoma Sooners
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
New Mexico Lobos
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
OU rates 50/100 vs UNM at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Sooners 0/1000/100 Lobos
Oklahoma Sooners
0-0 (0% win rate)
New Mexico Lobos
0-0 (0% win rate)
OU is 0-0 vs UNM at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
OU wins42 – 27
2023
UNM wins41 – 21
2022
OU wins25 – 14
2021
UNM wins40 – 16
2020
UNM wins25 – 12
2019
OU wins34 – 18
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Oklahoma Sooners
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
New Mexico Lobos
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 11:30 PM UTC
Network
ESPN2
Stadium
Unknown Stadium