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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
CBSSNAI PredictionUNM @ NMSU
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
New Mexico State AggiesWIN PROBABILITYNew Mexico Lobos
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
New Mexico State Aggies
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Aggies 50/10050/100 Lobos
New Mexico State Aggies
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
New Mexico Lobos
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
NMSU rates 50/100 vs UNM at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Aggies 0/1000/100 Lobos
New Mexico State Aggies
0-0 (0% win rate)
New Mexico Lobos
0-0 (0% win rate)
NMSU is 0-0 vs UNM at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
UNM wins31 – 7
2023
UNM wins24 – 17
2022
NMSU wins43 – 34
2021
UNM wins32 – 12
2020
NMSU wins39 – 11
2019
NMSU wins31 – 15
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
New Mexico State Aggies
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
New Mexico Lobos
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
CBSSN
Stadium
Unknown Stadium