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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI Prediction

Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, September 26, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 68% confidence

Michigan State SpartansWIN PROBABILITYNebraska Cornhuskers
58%
42%

MODEL PICK

Michigan State Spartans

CONFIDENCE

68%

4

Home Edge

3

Neutral

0

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Spartans 66/10057/100 Cornhuskers

Michigan State Spartans

66/100 — 34-35 over 6 seasons

Nebraska Cornhuskers

57/100 — 27-42 over 6 seasons

Michigan State Spartans rates 66/100 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers at 57/100 — a 9-point gap in program quality.

Spartans 0/1000/100 Cornhuskers

Michigan State Spartans

0-0 (0% win rate)

Nebraska Cornhuskers

0-0 (0% win rate)

Michigan State Spartans is 0-0 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

42
2024
Spartans wins4225
2023
Cornhuskers wins4126
2022
Spartans wins3313
2021
Spartans wins2611
2020
Cornhuskers wins2722
2019
Spartans wins3520

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Michigan State Spartans

34-35 overall
2019
7-6
2020
2-5
2021
11-2AP #3
2022
5-7
2023
4-8
2024
5-7

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

Nebraska Cornhuskers

27-42 overall
2019
5-7
2020
3-5
2021
3-9
2022
4-8
2023
5-7
2024
7-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC

Network

TBD

Stadium

Spartan Stadium