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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
ESPNAI PredictionNAVY @ UAB
Friday, September 25, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
UAB BlazersWIN PROBABILITYNavy Midshipmen
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
UAB Blazers
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Blazers 50/10050/100 Midshipmen
UAB Blazers
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Navy Midshipmen
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
UAB rates 50/100 vs NAVY at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Blazers 0/1000/100 Midshipmen
UAB Blazers
0-0 (0% win rate)
Navy Midshipmen
0-0 (0% win rate)
UAB is 0-0 vs NAVY at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
NAVY wins44 – 33
2023
UAB wins35 – 26
2022
UAB wins48 – 38
2021
UAB wins31 – 22
2020
NAVY wins39 – 11
2019
NAVY wins41 – 29
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
UAB Blazers
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Navy Midshipmen
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Fri, Sep 25, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN
Stadium
Unknown Stadium