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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
ESPN+AI PredictionMUR @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 76% confidence
Oklahoma State CowboysWIN PROBABILITYMurray State Racers
61%
39%
MODEL PICK
Oklahoma State Cowboys
CONFIDENCE
76%
6
Home Edge
1
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Cowboys 70/10050/100 Racers
Oklahoma State Cowboys
70/100 — 50-26 over 6 seasons
Murray State Racers
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Oklahoma State Cowboys rates 70/100 vs MUR at 50/100 — a 20-point gap in program quality.
Cowboys 0/1000/100 Racers
Oklahoma State Cowboys
0-0 (0% win rate)
Murray State Racers
0-0 (0% win rate)
Oklahoma State Cowboys is 0-0 vs MUR at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
Cowboys wins37 – 11
2023
MUR wins29 – 15
2022
Cowboys wins27 – 7
2021
Cowboys wins39 – 31
2020
Cowboys wins32 – 25
2019
MUR wins42 – 31
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Oklahoma State Cowboys
50-26 overall2019
8-4
2020
8-3
2021
12-2AP #4
2022
7-6
2023
7-6
2024
8-5
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
Murray State Racers
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Boone Pickens Stadium