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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
USA NetAI Prediction

MONT @ ORST

Sunday, September 20, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence

Oregon State BeaversWIN PROBABILITYMontana Grizzlies
48%
52%

MODEL PICK

Montana Grizzlies

CONFIDENCE

55%

1

Home Edge

5

Neutral

1

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Beavers 50/10050/100 Grizzlies

Oregon State Beavers

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Montana Grizzlies

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

ORST rates 50/100 vs MONT at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.

Beavers 0/1000/100 Grizzlies

Oregon State Beavers

0-0 (0% win rate)

Montana Grizzlies

0-0 (0% win rate)

ORST is 0-0 vs MONT at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

24
2024
MONT wins4134
2023
MONT wins4640
2022
MONT wins2210
2021
MONT wins4538
2020
ORST wins3024
2019
ORST wins227

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Oregon State Beavers

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

Montana Grizzlies

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 3:00 AM UTC

Network

USA Net

Stadium

Unknown Stadium