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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 2
ESPN+AI PredictionMVSU @ SAC
Sunday, September 6, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Sacramento State HornetsWIN PROBABILITYMississippi Valley State Delta Devils
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Sacramento State Hornets
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Hornets 50/10050/100 Devils
Sacramento State Hornets
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
SAC rates 50/100 vs MVSU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Hornets 0/1000/100 Devils
Sacramento State Hornets
0-0 (0% win rate)
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
0-0 (0% win rate)
SAC is 0-0 vs MVSU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
SAC wins30 – 21
2023
SAC wins27 – 21
2022
SAC wins44 – 15
2021
SAC wins31 – 10
2020
MVSU wins26 – 13
2019
MVSU wins40 – 27
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Sacramento State Hornets
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 6, 2:00 AM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium