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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 10
TBDAI PredictionMSST @ Texas Longhorns
Saturday, October 31, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 67% confidence
Texas LonghornsWIN PROBABILITYMississippi State Bulldogs
57%
43%
MODEL PICK
Texas Longhorns
CONFIDENCE
67%
4
Home Edge
2
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Longhorns 79/10050/100 Bulldogs
Texas Longhorns
79/100 — 53-25 over 6 seasons
Mississippi State Bulldogs
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Texas Longhorns rates 79/100 vs MSST at 50/100 — a 29-point gap in program quality.
Longhorns 0/1000/100 Bulldogs
Texas Longhorns
0-0 (0% win rate)
Mississippi State Bulldogs
0-0 (0% win rate)
Texas Longhorns is 0-0 vs MSST at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
Longhorns wins33 – 8
2023
MSST wins38 – 15
2022
Longhorns wins43 – 32
2021
MSST wins34 – 26
2020
MSST wins27 – 21
2019
MSST wins41 – 29
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Texas Longhorns
53-25 overall2019
8-5
2020
7-3
2021
5-7
2022
8-5
2023
12-2AP #3
2024
13-3AP #5
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
Mississippi State Bulldogs
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium