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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
CBSAI PredictionMSST @ Minnesota Golden Gophers
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 77% confidence
Minnesota Golden GophersWIN PROBABILITYMississippi State Bulldogs
61%
39%
MODEL PICK
Minnesota Golden Gophers
CONFIDENCE
77%
5
Home Edge
2
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Gophers 62/10050/100 Bulldogs
Minnesota Golden Gophers
62/100 — 44-26 over 6 seasons
Mississippi State Bulldogs
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Minnesota Golden Gophers rates 62/100 vs MSST at 50/100 — a 12-point gap in program quality.
Gophers 0/1000/100 Bulldogs
Minnesota Golden Gophers
0-0 (0% win rate)
Mississippi State Bulldogs
0-0 (0% win rate)
Minnesota Golden Gophers is 0-0 vs MSST at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
5–1
2024
Gophers wins46 – 30
2023
Gophers wins22 – 11
2022
MSST wins45 – 11
2021
Gophers wins30 – 26
2020
Gophers wins22 – 9
2019
Gophers wins33 – 17
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Minnesota Golden Gophers
44-26 overall2019
11-2AP #10
2020
3-4
2021
9-4
2022
9-4
2023
4-8
2024
8-4
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
Mississippi State Bulldogs
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
CBS
Stadium
Huntington Bank Stadium