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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
CBSAI Prediction

MSST @ Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, September 12, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 77% confidence

Minnesota Golden GophersWIN PROBABILITYMississippi State Bulldogs
61%
39%

MODEL PICK

Minnesota Golden Gophers

CONFIDENCE

77%

5

Home Edge

2

Neutral

0

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Gophers 62/10050/100 Bulldogs

Minnesota Golden Gophers

62/100 — 44-26 over 6 seasons

Mississippi State Bulldogs

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Minnesota Golden Gophers rates 62/100 vs MSST at 50/100 — a 12-point gap in program quality.

Gophers 0/1000/100 Bulldogs

Minnesota Golden Gophers

0-0 (0% win rate)

Mississippi State Bulldogs

0-0 (0% win rate)

Minnesota Golden Gophers is 0-0 vs MSST at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

51
2024
Gophers wins4630
2023
Gophers wins2211
2022
MSST wins4511
2021
Gophers wins3026
2020
Gophers wins229
2019
Gophers wins3317

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Minnesota Golden Gophers

44-26 overall
2019
11-2AP #10
2020
3-4
2021
9-4
2022
9-4
2023
4-8
2024
8-4

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

Mississippi State Bulldogs

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 12, 7:30 PM UTC

Network

CBS

Stadium

Huntington Bank Stadium