Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 6
TBDAI PredictionMTSU @ KU
Saturday, October 3, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Kansas JayhawksWIN PROBABILITYMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Kansas Jayhawks
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Jayhawks 50/10050/100 Raiders
Kansas Jayhawks
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
KU rates 50/100 vs MTSU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Jayhawks 0/1000/100 Raiders
Kansas Jayhawks
0-0 (0% win rate)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
0-0 (0% win rate)
KU is 0-0 vs MTSU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
KU wins44 – 31
2023
KU wins40 – 7
2022
MTSU wins41 – 22
2021
KU wins29 – 21
2020
KU wins38 – 26
2019
MTSU wins38 – 24
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Kansas Jayhawks
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Unknown Stadium