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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
ESPN+AI PredictionMTSU @ JVST
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
Jacksonville State GamecocksWIN PROBABILITYMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Gamecocks 50/10050/100 Raiders
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
JVST rates 50/100 vs MTSU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Gamecocks 0/1000/100 Raiders
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
0-0 (0% win rate)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
0-0 (0% win rate)
JVST is 0-0 vs MTSU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
JVST wins43 – 32
2023
JVST wins38 – 19
2022
MTSU wins21 – 16
2021
MTSU wins23 – 18
2020
MTSU wins34 – 24
2019
JVST wins26 – 10
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium