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WEEK 11
TBDAI PredictionMichigan State Spartans @ Michigan Wolverines
Saturday, November 7, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 62% confidence
Michigan WolverinesWIN PROBABILITYMichigan State Spartans
55%
45%
MODEL PICK
Michigan Wolverines
CONFIDENCE
62%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Wolverines 86/10066/100 Spartans
Michigan Wolverines
86/100 — 59-16 over 6 seasons
Michigan State Spartans
66/100 — 34-35 over 6 seasons
Michigan Wolverines rates 86/100 vs Michigan State Spartans at 66/100 — a 20-point gap in program quality.
Wolverines 0/1000/100 Spartans
Michigan Wolverines
0-0 (0% win rate)
Michigan State Spartans
0-0 (0% win rate)
Michigan Wolverines is 0-0 vs Michigan State Spartans at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
Spartans wins44 – 33
2023
Wolverines wins35 – 26
2022
Wolverines wins48 – 38
2021
Wolverines wins31 – 22
2020
Spartans wins39 – 11
2019
Spartans wins41 – 29
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Michigan Wolverines
59-16 overall2019
9-4AP #14
2020
2-4
2021
12-2AP #6
2022
13-1AP #3
2023
15-0AP #1
2024
8-5AP #9
AP Ranked in 5 of 6 seasons
Michigan State Spartans
34-35 overall2019
7-6
2020
2-5
2021
11-2AP #3
2022
5-7
2023
4-8
2024
5-7
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Michigan Stadium (The Big House)