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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
ESPN+AI PredictionM-OH @ Cincinnati Bearcats
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 74% confidence
Cincinnati BearcatsWIN PROBABILITYMiami (OH) RedHawks
60%
40%
MODEL PICK
Cincinnati Bearcats
CONFIDENCE
74%
5
Home Edge
2
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Bearcats 66/10050/100 RedHawks
Cincinnati Bearcats
66/100 — 57-20 over 6 seasons
Miami (OH) RedHawks
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Cincinnati Bearcats rates 66/100 vs M-OH at 50/100 — a 16-point gap in program quality.
Bearcats 0/1000/100 RedHawks
Cincinnati Bearcats
0-0 (0% win rate)
Miami (OH) RedHawks
0-0 (0% win rate)
Cincinnati Bearcats is 0-0 vs M-OH at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
Bearcats wins39 – 26
2023
Bearcats wins37 – 12
2022
M-OH wins26 – 23
2021
Bearcats wins44 – 8
2020
M-OH wins36 – 20
2019
Bearcats wins22 – 8
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Cincinnati Bearcats
57-20 overall2019
11-3AP #7
2020
9-1
2021
13-1AP #4
2022
9-4
2023
6-7
2024
9-4
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
Miami (OH) RedHawks
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Nippert Stadium