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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 2
ESPN+AI Prediction

MRMK @ DEL

Thursday, September 3, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 67% confidence

Delaware Blue HensWIN PROBABILITYMerrimack Warriors
57%
43%

MODEL PICK

Delaware Blue Hens

CONFIDENCE

67%

2

Home Edge

5

Neutral

0

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Hens 50/10050/100 Warriors

Delaware Blue Hens

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Merrimack Warriors

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

DEL rates 50/100 vs MRMK at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.

Hens 0/1000/100 Warriors

Delaware Blue Hens

0-0 (0% win rate)

Merrimack Warriors

0-0 (0% win rate)

DEL is 0-0 vs MRMK at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

51
2024
DEL wins3211
2023
DEL wins3923
2022
DEL wins3117
2021
DEL wins3810
2020
MRMK wins4934
2019
DEL wins2711

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Delaware Blue Hens

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

Merrimack Warriors

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Thu, Sep 3, 11:00 PM UTC

Network

ESPN+

Stadium

Unknown Stadium