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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 6
TBDAI PredictionMRSH @ JMU
Saturday, October 3, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
James Madison DukesWIN PROBABILITYMarshall Thundering Herd
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
James Madison Dukes
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Dukes 50/10050/100 Herd
James Madison Dukes
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Marshall Thundering Herd
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
JMU rates 50/100 vs MRSH at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Dukes 0/1000/100 Herd
James Madison Dukes
0-0 (0% win rate)
Marshall Thundering Herd
0-0 (0% win rate)
JMU is 0-0 vs MRSH at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
MRSH wins24 – 15
2023
JMU wins43 – 24
2022
MRSH wins32 – 8
2021
JMU wins39 – 33
2020
JMU wins31 – 17
2019
MRSH wins38 – 24
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
James Madison Dukes
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Marshall Thundering Herd
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Unknown Stadium