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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
ESPNUAI PredictionLT @ Baylor Bears
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 73% confidence
Baylor BearsWIN PROBABILITYLouisiana Tech Bulldogs
60%
40%
MODEL PICK
Baylor Bears
CONFIDENCE
73%
5
Home Edge
2
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Bears 64/10050/100 Bulldogs
Baylor Bears
64/100 — 47-29 over 6 seasons
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Baylor Bears rates 64/100 vs LT at 50/100 — a 14-point gap in program quality.
Bears 0/1000/100 Bulldogs
Baylor Bears
0-0 (0% win rate)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
0-0 (0% win rate)
Baylor Bears is 0-0 vs LT at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
Bears wins33 – 22
2023
Bears wins34 – 12
2022
LT wins46 – 36
2021
LT wins43 – 20
2020
Bears wins48 – 29
2019
Bears wins27 – 11
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Baylor Bears
47-29 overall2019
11-3AP #7
2020
2-7
2021
12-2AP #5
2022
7-6
2023
8-5
2024
7-6
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 8:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPNU
Stadium
McLane Stadium