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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI Prediction

KENN @ ARST

Saturday, September 26, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence

Arkansas State Red WolvesWIN PROBABILITYKennesaw State Owls
48%
52%

MODEL PICK

Kennesaw State Owls

CONFIDENCE

55%

1

Home Edge

5

Neutral

1

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Wolves 50/10050/100 Owls

Arkansas State Red Wolves

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Kennesaw State Owls

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

ARST rates 50/100 vs KENN at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.

Wolves 0/1000/100 Owls

Arkansas State Red Wolves

0-0 (0% win rate)

Kennesaw State Owls

0-0 (0% win rate)

ARST is 0-0 vs KENN at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

24
2024
ARST wins3223
2023
ARST wins238
2022
KENN wins2214
2021
KENN wins348
2020
KENN wins2920
2019
KENN wins4435

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Arkansas State Red Wolves

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

Kennesaw State Owls

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM UTC

Network

TBD

Stadium

Unknown Stadium