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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
FS1AI PredictionKansas State Wildcats @ Oklahoma State Cowboys
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 64% confidence
Oklahoma State CowboysWIN PROBABILITYKansas State Wildcats
56%
44%
MODEL PICK
Oklahoma State Cowboys
CONFIDENCE
64%
3
Home Edge
4
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Cowboys 70/10067/100 Wildcats
Oklahoma State Cowboys
70/100 — 50-26 over 6 seasons
Kansas State Wildcats
67/100 — 48-27 over 6 seasons
Oklahoma State Cowboys rates 70/100 vs Kansas State Wildcats at 67/100 — a 3-point gap in program quality.
Cowboys 62/10069/100 Wildcats
Oklahoma State Cowboys
8-5 (62% win rate)
Kansas State Wildcats
9-4 (69% win rate)
Oklahoma State Cowboys is 8-5 vs Kansas State Wildcats at 9-4 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
5–1
2024
Cowboys wins44 – 25
2023
Cowboys wins21 – 16
2022
Wildcats wins44 – 11
2021
Cowboys wins38 – 13
2020
Cowboys wins42 – 14
2019
Cowboys wins23 – 8
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Oklahoma State Cowboys
50-26 overall2019
8-4
2020
8-3
2021
12-2AP #4
2022
7-6
2023
7-6
2024
8-5
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
Kansas State Wildcats
48-27 overall2019
8-4
2020
4-6
2021
8-5
2022
10-4AP #7
2023
9-4
2024
9-4
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 11:30 PM UTC
Network
FS1
Stadium
Boone Pickens Stadium