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WEEK 3
FS1AI Prediction

Kansas State Wildcats @ Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, September 19, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 64% confidence

Oklahoma State CowboysWIN PROBABILITYKansas State Wildcats
56%
44%

MODEL PICK

Oklahoma State Cowboys

CONFIDENCE

64%

3

Home Edge

4

Neutral

0

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Cowboys 70/10067/100 Wildcats

Oklahoma State Cowboys

70/100 — 50-26 over 6 seasons

Kansas State Wildcats

67/100 — 48-27 over 6 seasons

Oklahoma State Cowboys rates 70/100 vs Kansas State Wildcats at 67/100 — a 3-point gap in program quality.

Cowboys 62/10069/100 Wildcats

Oklahoma State Cowboys

8-5 (62% win rate)

Kansas State Wildcats

9-4 (69% win rate)

Oklahoma State Cowboys is 8-5 vs Kansas State Wildcats at 9-4 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

51
2024
Cowboys wins4425
2023
Cowboys wins2116
2022
Wildcats wins4411
2021
Cowboys wins3813
2020
Cowboys wins4214
2019
Cowboys wins238

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Oklahoma State Cowboys

50-26 overall
2019
8-4
2020
8-3
2021
12-2AP #4
2022
7-6
2023
7-6
2024
8-5

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

Kansas State Wildcats

48-27 overall
2019
8-4
2020
4-6
2021
8-5
2022
10-4AP #7
2023
9-4
2024
9-4

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 19, 11:30 PM UTC

Network

FS1

Stadium

Boone Pickens Stadium