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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI PredictionKansas State Wildcats @ Cincinnati Bearcats
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 50% confidence
Cincinnati BearcatsWIN PROBABILITYKansas State Wildcats
50%
50%
MODEL PICK
Cincinnati Bearcats
CONFIDENCE
50%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Bearcats 66/10067/100 Wildcats
Cincinnati Bearcats
66/100 — 57-20 over 6 seasons
Kansas State Wildcats
67/100 — 48-27 over 6 seasons
Cincinnati Bearcats rates 66/100 vs Kansas State Wildcats at 67/100 — a 1-point gap in program quality.
Bearcats 0/1000/100 Wildcats
Cincinnati Bearcats
0-0 (0% win rate)
Kansas State Wildcats
0-0 (0% win rate)
Cincinnati Bearcats is 0-0 vs Kansas State Wildcats at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
Bearcats wins38 – 26
2023
Wildcats wins46 – 13
2022
Wildcats wins29 – 18
2021
Wildcats wins26 – 16
2020
Bearcats wins39 – 33
2019
Wildcats wins46 – 39
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Cincinnati Bearcats
57-20 overall2019
11-3AP #7
2020
9-1
2021
13-1AP #4
2022
9-4
2023
6-7
2024
9-4
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
Kansas State Wildcats
48-27 overall2019
8-4
2020
4-6
2021
8-5
2022
10-4AP #7
2023
9-4
2024
9-4
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Nippert Stadium