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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
ESPN UnlmtdAI Prediction

JMU @ San Diego State Aztecs

Sunday, September 20, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 79% confidence

San Diego State AztecsWIN PROBABILITYJames Madison Dukes
62%
38%

MODEL PICK

San Diego State Aztecs

CONFIDENCE

79%

3

Home Edge

3

Neutral

1

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Aztecs 60/10050/100 Dukes

San Diego State Aztecs

60/100 — 50-24 over 6 seasons

James Madison Dukes

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

San Diego State Aztecs rates 60/100 vs JMU at 50/100 — a 10-point gap in program quality.

Aztecs 0/1000/100 Dukes

San Diego State Aztecs

0-0 (0% win rate)

James Madison Dukes

0-0 (0% win rate)

San Diego State Aztecs is 0-0 vs JMU at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

60
2024
Aztecs wins3820
2023
Aztecs wins4319
2022
Aztecs wins3422
2021
Aztecs wins2713
2020
Aztecs wins4118
2019
Aztecs wins3824

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

San Diego State Aztecs

50-24 overall
2019
11-3
2020
4-4
2021
12-2
2022
7-6
2023
9-4
2024
7-5

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

James Madison Dukes

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 20, 2:00 AM UTC

Network

ESPN Unlmtd

Stadium

Snapdragon Stadium