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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 11
TBDAI Prediction

Iowa State Cyclones @ Baylor Bears

Saturday, November 7, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 51% confidence

Baylor BearsWIN PROBABILITYIowa State Cyclones
51%
49%

MODEL PICK

Baylor Bears

CONFIDENCE

51%

3

Home Edge

3

Neutral

1

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Bears 64/10060/100 Cyclones

Baylor Bears

64/100 — 47-29 over 6 seasons

Iowa State Cyclones

60/100 — 41-34 over 6 seasons

Baylor Bears rates 64/100 vs Iowa State Cyclones at 60/100 — a 4-point gap in program quality.

Bears 0/1000/100 Cyclones

Baylor Bears

0-0 (0% win rate)

Iowa State Cyclones

0-0 (0% win rate)

Baylor Bears is 0-0 vs Iowa State Cyclones at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

24
2024
Bears wins3826
2023
Cyclones wins4613
2022
Cyclones wins2918
2021
Cyclones wins2616
2020
Bears wins3933
2019
Cyclones wins4639

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Baylor Bears

47-29 overall
2019
11-3AP #7
2020
2-7
2021
12-2AP #5
2022
7-6
2023
8-5
2024
7-6

AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons

Iowa State Cyclones

41-34 overall
2019
7-6
2020
9-3AP #10
2021
7-6
2022
4-8
2023
7-5
2024
7-6

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 AM UTC

Network

TBD

Stadium

McLane Stadium