Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 2
BTNAI PredictionINST @ PUR
Friday, September 4, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Purdue BoilermakersWIN PROBABILITYIndiana State Sycamores
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Purdue Boilermakers
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Boilermakers 50/10050/100 Sycamores
Purdue Boilermakers
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Indiana State Sycamores
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
PUR rates 50/100 vs INST at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Boilermakers 0/1000/100 Sycamores
Purdue Boilermakers
0-0 (0% win rate)
Indiana State Sycamores
0-0 (0% win rate)
PUR is 0-0 vs INST at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
PUR wins37 – 11
2023
INST wins29 – 15
2022
PUR wins27 – 7
2021
PUR wins39 – 31
2020
PUR wins32 – 25
2019
INST wins42 – 31
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Purdue Boilermakers
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Indiana State Sycamores
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Fri, Sep 4, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
BTN
Stadium
Unknown Stadium