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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI Prediction

Illinois Fighting Illini @ Ohio State Buckeyes

Saturday, September 26, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 77% confidence

Ohio State BuckeyesWIN PROBABILITYIllinois Fighting Illini
61%
39%

MODEL PICK

Ohio State Buckeyes

CONFIDENCE

77%

5

Home Edge

2

Neutral

0

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Buckeyes 91/10055/100 Illini

Ohio State Buckeyes

91/100 — 67-9 over 6 seasons

Illinois Fighting Illini

55/100 — 35-36 over 6 seasons

Ohio State Buckeyes rates 91/100 vs Illinois Fighting Illini at 55/100 — a 36-point gap in program quality.

Buckeyes 0/1000/100 Illini

Ohio State Buckeyes

0-0 (0% win rate)

Illinois Fighting Illini

0-0 (0% win rate)

Ohio State Buckeyes is 0-0 vs Illinois Fighting Illini at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

42
2024
Buckeyes wins497
2023
Buckeyes wins2715
2022
Illini wins2619
2021
Illini wins4833
2020
Buckeyes wins4528
2019
Buckeyes wins3418

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Ohio State Buckeyes

67-9 overall
2019
13-1AP #3
2020
8-1AP #3
2021
11-2AP #4
2022
13-1AP #3
2023
12-2AP #2
2024
10-2AP #1

AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons

Illinois Fighting Illini

35-36 overall
2019
6-7
2020
2-6
2021
5-7
2022
8-5AP #12
2023
5-7
2024
9-4

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC

Network

TBD

Stadium

Ohio Stadium (The Shoe)