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WEEK 5
TBDAI PredictionIllinois Fighting Illini @ Ohio State Buckeyes
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 77% confidence
Ohio State BuckeyesWIN PROBABILITYIllinois Fighting Illini
61%
39%
MODEL PICK
Ohio State Buckeyes
CONFIDENCE
77%
5
Home Edge
2
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Buckeyes 91/10055/100 Illini
Ohio State Buckeyes
91/100 — 67-9 over 6 seasons
Illinois Fighting Illini
55/100 — 35-36 over 6 seasons
Ohio State Buckeyes rates 91/100 vs Illinois Fighting Illini at 55/100 — a 36-point gap in program quality.
Buckeyes 0/1000/100 Illini
Ohio State Buckeyes
0-0 (0% win rate)
Illinois Fighting Illini
0-0 (0% win rate)
Ohio State Buckeyes is 0-0 vs Illinois Fighting Illini at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
Buckeyes wins49 – 7
2023
Buckeyes wins27 – 15
2022
Illini wins26 – 19
2021
Illini wins48 – 33
2020
Buckeyes wins45 – 28
2019
Buckeyes wins34 – 18
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Ohio State Buckeyes
67-9 overall2019
13-1AP #3
2020
8-1AP #3
2021
11-2AP #4
2022
13-1AP #3
2023
12-2AP #2
2024
10-2AP #1
AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons
Illinois Fighting Illini
35-36 overall2019
6-7
2020
2-6
2021
5-7
2022
8-5AP #12
2023
5-7
2024
9-4
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Ohio Stadium (The Shoe)