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WEEK 7
TBDAI PredictionIllinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans
Saturday, October 10, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 61% confidence
Michigan State SpartansWIN PROBABILITYIllinois Fighting Illini
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Michigan State Spartans
CONFIDENCE
61%
3
Home Edge
4
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Spartans 66/10055/100 Illini
Michigan State Spartans
66/100 — 34-35 over 6 seasons
Illinois Fighting Illini
55/100 — 35-36 over 6 seasons
Michigan State Spartans rates 66/100 vs Illinois Fighting Illini at 55/100 — a 11-point gap in program quality.
Spartans 0/1000/100 Illini
Michigan State Spartans
0-0 (0% win rate)
Illinois Fighting Illini
0-0 (0% win rate)
Michigan State Spartans is 0-0 vs Illinois Fighting Illini at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
Illini wins32 – 20
2023
Spartans wins42 – 14
2022
Spartans wins28 – 21
2021
Spartans wins26 – 16
2020
Illini wins22 – 9
2019
Illini wins40 – 27
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Michigan State Spartans
34-35 overall2019
7-6
2020
2-5
2021
11-2AP #3
2022
5-7
2023
4-8
2024
5-7
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
Illinois Fighting Illini
35-36 overall2019
6-7
2020
2-6
2021
5-7
2022
8-5AP #12
2023
5-7
2024
9-4
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Spartan Stadium