NFL Scores
Loading scores…
Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 7
TBDAI Prediction

Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, October 10, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 61% confidence

Michigan State SpartansWIN PROBABILITYIllinois Fighting Illini
54%
46%

MODEL PICK

Michigan State Spartans

CONFIDENCE

61%

3

Home Edge

4

Neutral

0

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Spartans 66/10055/100 Illini

Michigan State Spartans

66/100 — 34-35 over 6 seasons

Illinois Fighting Illini

55/100 — 35-36 over 6 seasons

Michigan State Spartans rates 66/100 vs Illinois Fighting Illini at 55/100 — a 11-point gap in program quality.

Spartans 0/1000/100 Illini

Michigan State Spartans

0-0 (0% win rate)

Illinois Fighting Illini

0-0 (0% win rate)

Michigan State Spartans is 0-0 vs Illinois Fighting Illini at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

33
2024
Illini wins3220
2023
Spartans wins4214
2022
Spartans wins2821
2021
Spartans wins2616
2020
Illini wins229
2019
Illini wins4027

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Michigan State Spartans

34-35 overall
2019
7-6
2020
2-5
2021
11-2AP #3
2022
5-7
2023
4-8
2024
5-7

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

Illinois Fighting Illini

35-36 overall
2019
6-7
2020
2-6
2021
5-7
2022
8-5AP #12
2023
5-7
2024
9-4

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC

Network

TBD

Stadium

Spartan Stadium