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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 2
CBSSNAI PredictionIDST @ USU
Saturday, September 5, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
Utah State AggiesWIN PROBABILITYIdaho State Bengals
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
Utah State Aggies
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Aggies 50/10050/100 Bengals
Utah State Aggies
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Idaho State Bengals
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
USU rates 50/100 vs IDST at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Aggies 0/1000/100 Bengals
Utah State Aggies
0-0 (0% win rate)
Idaho State Bengals
0-0 (0% win rate)
USU is 0-0 vs IDST at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
USU wins35 – 8
2023
USU wins21 – 16
2022
IDST wins27 – 13
2021
USU wins31 – 19
2020
IDST wins41 – 19
2019
IDST wins42 – 32
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Utah State Aggies
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Idaho State Bengals
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
CBSSN
Stadium
Unknown Stadium