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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPN+AI PredictionGAST @ KENN
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 62% confidence
Kennesaw State OwlsWIN PROBABILITYGeorgia State Panthers
45%
55%
MODEL PICK
Georgia State Panthers
CONFIDENCE
62%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Owls 50/10050/100 Panthers
Kennesaw State Owls
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Georgia State Panthers
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
KENN rates 50/100 vs GAST at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Owls 0/1000/100 Panthers
Kennesaw State Owls
0-0 (0% win rate)
Georgia State Panthers
0-0 (0% win rate)
KENN is 0-0 vs GAST at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
1–5
2024
GAST wins39 – 10
2023
GAST wins32 – 27
2022
GAST wins46 – 27
2021
GAST wins44 – 13
2020
KENN wins21 – 14
2019
GAST wins44 – 36
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Kennesaw State Owls
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Georgia State Panthers
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium