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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 2
FOXAI PredictionFRES @ USC Trojans
Saturday, September 5, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 72% confidence
USC TrojansWIN PROBABILITYFresno State Bulldogs
59%
41%
MODEL PICK
USC Trojans
CONFIDENCE
72%
5
Home Edge
2
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Trojans 75/10050/100 Bulldogs
USC Trojans
75/100 — 47-25 over 6 seasons
Fresno State Bulldogs
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
USC Trojans rates 75/100 vs FRES at 50/100 — a 25-point gap in program quality.
Trojans 0/1000/100 Bulldogs
USC Trojans
0-0 (0% win rate)
Fresno State Bulldogs
0-0 (0% win rate)
USC Trojans is 0-0 vs FRES at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
FRES wins27 – 10
2023
FRES wins39 – 30
2022
FRES wins32 – 20
2021
Trojans wins42 – 38
2020
Trojans wins23 – 15
2019
Trojans wins23 – 8
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
USC Trojans
47-25 overall2019
5-7
2020
5-1
2021
11-3AP #7
2022
11-3AP #5
2023
8-5
2024
7-6
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
Fresno State Bulldogs
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5, 1:00 AM UTC
Network
FOX
Stadium
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum