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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
FS1AI PredictionFRES @ SJSU
Sunday, September 20, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence
San José State SpartansWIN PROBABILITYFresno State Bulldogs
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
Fresno State Bulldogs
CONFIDENCE
55%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Spartans 50/10050/100 Bulldogs
San José State Spartans
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Fresno State Bulldogs
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
SJSU rates 50/100 vs FRES at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Spartans 0/1000/100 Bulldogs
San José State Spartans
0-0 (0% win rate)
Fresno State Bulldogs
0-0 (0% win rate)
SJSU is 0-0 vs FRES at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
FRES wins40 – 35
2023
FRES wins31 – 12
2022
SJSU wins39 – 33
2021
SJSU wins32 – 26
2020
FRES wins46 – 8
2019
FRES wins44 – 35
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
San José State Spartans
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Fresno State Bulldogs
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 20, 3:00 AM UTC
Network
FS1
Stadium
Unknown Stadium