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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 7
ESPNAI Prediction

Florida State Seminoles @ Louisville Cardinals

Friday, October 9, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence

Louisville CardinalsWIN PROBABILITYFlorida State Seminoles
52%
48%

MODEL PICK

Louisville Cardinals

CONFIDENCE

55%

2

Home Edge

3

Neutral

2

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Cardinals 60/10074/100 Seminoles

Louisville Cardinals

60/100 — 45-29 over 6 seasons

Florida State Seminoles

74/100 — 44-30 over 6 seasons

Louisville Cardinals rates 60/100 vs Florida State Seminoles at 74/100 — a 14-point gap in program quality.

Cardinals 0/1000/100 Seminoles

Louisville Cardinals

0-0 (0% win rate)

Florida State Seminoles

0-0 (0% win rate)

Louisville Cardinals is 0-0 vs Florida State Seminoles at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

42
2024
Cardinals wins3717
2023
Seminoles wins2618
2022
Cardinals wins4413
2021
Cardinals wins3622
2020
Cardinals wins2214
2019
Seminoles wins4639

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Louisville Cardinals

45-29 overall
2019
8-5
2020
4-7
2021
6-6
2022
8-4
2023
10-3AP #11
2024
9-4

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

Florida State Seminoles

44-30 overall
2019
6-7
2020
8-3
2021
5-7
2022
10-3AP #6
2023
13-0AP #1
2024
2-10

AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Fri, Oct 9, 11:00 PM UTC

Network

ESPN

Stadium

L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium