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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 7
ESPNAI PredictionFlorida State Seminoles @ Louisville Cardinals
Friday, October 9, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence
Louisville CardinalsWIN PROBABILITYFlorida State Seminoles
52%
48%
MODEL PICK
Louisville Cardinals
CONFIDENCE
55%
2
Home Edge
3
Neutral
2
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Cardinals 60/10074/100 Seminoles
Louisville Cardinals
60/100 — 45-29 over 6 seasons
Florida State Seminoles
74/100 — 44-30 over 6 seasons
Louisville Cardinals rates 60/100 vs Florida State Seminoles at 74/100 — a 14-point gap in program quality.
Cardinals 0/1000/100 Seminoles
Louisville Cardinals
0-0 (0% win rate)
Florida State Seminoles
0-0 (0% win rate)
Louisville Cardinals is 0-0 vs Florida State Seminoles at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
Cardinals wins37 – 17
2023
Seminoles wins26 – 18
2022
Cardinals wins44 – 13
2021
Cardinals wins36 – 22
2020
Cardinals wins22 – 14
2019
Seminoles wins46 – 39
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Louisville Cardinals
45-29 overall2019
8-5
2020
4-7
2021
6-6
2022
8-4
2023
10-3AP #11
2024
9-4
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
Florida State Seminoles
44-30 overall2019
6-7
2020
8-3
2021
5-7
2022
10-3AP #6
2023
13-0AP #1
2024
2-10
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Fri, Oct 9, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN
Stadium
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium