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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
ESPNAI PredictionFlorida Gators @ Auburn Tigers
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 54% confidence
Auburn TigersWIN PROBABILITYFlorida Gators
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
Florida Gators
CONFIDENCE
54%
1
Home Edge
4
Neutral
2
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Tigers 68/10070/100 Gators
Auburn Tigers
68/100 — 35-37 over 6 seasons
Florida Gators
70/100 — 41-34 over 6 seasons
Auburn Tigers rates 68/100 vs Florida Gators at 70/100 — a 2-point gap in program quality.
Tigers 0/1000/100 Gators
Auburn Tigers
0-0 (0% win rate)
Florida Gators
0-0 (0% win rate)
Auburn Tigers is 0-0 vs Florida Gators at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
Gators wins27 – 17
2023
Tigers wins26 – 16
2022
Tigers wins44 – 38
2021
Gators wins23 – 19
2020
Gators wins41 – 12
2019
Gators wins47 – 42
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Auburn Tigers
35-37 overall2019
7-5
2020
6-5
2021
6-6
2022
5-7
2023
6-7
2024
5-7
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Florida Gators
41-34 overall2019
8-4AP #7
2020
8-4AP #6
2021
6-7
2022
6-7
2023
5-7
2024
8-5
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN
Stadium
Jordan-Hare Stadium