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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
ESPN+AI PredictionDSU @ USF
Saturday, September 19, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
South Florida BullsWIN PROBABILITYDelaware State Hornets
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
South Florida Bulls
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Bulls 50/10050/100 Hornets
South Florida Bulls
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Delaware State Hornets
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
USF rates 50/100 vs DSU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Bulls 0/1000/100 Hornets
South Florida Bulls
0-0 (0% win rate)
Delaware State Hornets
0-0 (0% win rate)
USF is 0-0 vs DSU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
DSU wins23 – 9
2023
USF wins38 – 34
2022
USF wins46 – 8
2021
DSU wins29 – 17
2020
USF wins26 – 8
2019
DSU wins39 – 26
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
South Florida Bulls
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Delaware State Hornets
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 19, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium