Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPN+AI PredictionCOLG @ CMU
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Central Michigan ChippewasWIN PROBABILITYColgate Raiders
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Central Michigan Chippewas
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Chippewas 50/10050/100 Raiders
Central Michigan Chippewas
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Colgate Raiders
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
CMU rates 50/100 vs COLG at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Chippewas 0/1000/100 Raiders
Central Michigan Chippewas
0-0 (0% win rate)
Colgate Raiders
0-0 (0% win rate)
CMU is 0-0 vs COLG at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
CMU wins31 – 24
2023
CMU wins41 – 26
2022
CMU wins42 – 38
2021
COLG wins39 – 25
2020
CMU wins32 – 9
2019
COLG wins42 – 31
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Central Michigan Chippewas
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Colgate Raiders
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 5:00 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium