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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
ESPNAI PredictionClemson Tigers @ CAL
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 77% confidence
California Golden BearsWIN PROBABILITYClemson Tigers
39%
61%
MODEL PICK
Clemson Tigers
CONFIDENCE
77%
1
Home Edge
2
Neutral
4
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Bears 50/10084/100 Tigers
California Golden Bears
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Clemson Tigers
84/100 — 60-20 over 6 seasons
CAL rates 50/100 vs Clemson Tigers at 84/100 — a 34-point gap in program quality.
Bears 0/1000/100 Tigers
California Golden Bears
0-0 (0% win rate)
Clemson Tigers
0-0 (0% win rate)
CAL is 0-0 vs Clemson Tigers at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
1–5
2024
Tigers wins23 – 18
2023
Tigers wins25 – 18
2022
Tigers wins35 – 23
2021
CAL wins42 – 38
2020
Tigers wins41 – 8
2019
Tigers wins33 – 17
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
California Golden Bears
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Clemson Tigers
60-20 overall2019
10-4AP #3
2020
10-2AP #3
2021
10-3AP #4
2022
11-3AP #5
2023
9-4AP #12
2024
10-4AP #10
AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 2:30 AM UTC
Network
ESPN
Stadium
Unknown Stadium