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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPN+AI PredictionCCSU @ TOL
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence
Toledo RocketsWIN PROBABILITYCentral Connecticut Blue Devils
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
CONFIDENCE
55%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Rockets 50/10050/100 Devils
Toledo Rockets
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
TOL rates 50/100 vs CCSU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Rockets 0/1000/100 Devils
Toledo Rockets
0-0 (0% win rate)
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
0-0 (0% win rate)
TOL is 0-0 vs CCSU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
CCSU wins39 – 22
2023
CCSU wins43 – 13
2022
TOL wins25 – 15
2021
CCSU wins34 – 18
2020
TOL wins44 – 10
2019
CCSU wins40 – 28
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Toledo Rockets
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
ESPN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium