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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 6
TBDAI PredictionBaylor Bears @ ASU
Saturday, October 3, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 52% confidence
Arizona State Sun DevilsWIN PROBABILITYBaylor Bears
49%
51%
MODEL PICK
Baylor Bears
CONFIDENCE
52%
2
Home Edge
2
Neutral
3
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Devils 50/10064/100 Bears
Arizona State Sun Devils
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Baylor Bears
64/100 — 47-29 over 6 seasons
ASU rates 50/100 vs Baylor Bears at 64/100 — a 14-point gap in program quality.
Devils 0/1000/100 Bears
Arizona State Sun Devils
0-0 (0% win rate)
Baylor Bears
0-0 (0% win rate)
ASU is 0-0 vs Baylor Bears at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
ASU wins33 – 12
2023
Bears wins27 – 20
2022
Bears wins27 – 16
2021
ASU wins26 – 10
2020
ASU wins44 – 30
2019
ASU wins23 – 8
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Arizona State Sun Devils
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Baylor Bears
47-29 overall2019
11-3AP #7
2020
2-7
2021
12-2AP #5
2022
7-6
2023
8-5
2024
7-6
AP Ranked in 2 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Oct 3, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Unknown Stadium