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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 2
BTNAI PredictionBALL @ Ohio State Buckeyes
Saturday, September 5, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 89% confidence
Ohio State BuckeyesWIN PROBABILITYBall State Cardinals
66%
34%
MODEL PICK
Ohio State Buckeyes
CONFIDENCE
89%
6
Home Edge
1
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Buckeyes 91/10050/100 Cardinals
Ohio State Buckeyes
91/100 — 67-9 over 6 seasons
Ball State Cardinals
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Ohio State Buckeyes rates 91/100 vs BALL at 50/100 — a 41-point gap in program quality.
Buckeyes 0/1000/100 Cardinals
Ohio State Buckeyes
0-0 (0% win rate)
Ball State Cardinals
0-0 (0% win rate)
Ohio State Buckeyes is 0-0 vs BALL at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
5–1
2024
Buckeyes wins37 – 10
2023
Buckeyes wins45 – 14
2022
Buckeyes wins35 – 12
2021
Buckeyes wins39 – 9
2020
BALL wins37 – 24
2019
Buckeyes wins26 – 10
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Ohio State Buckeyes
67-9 overall2019
13-1AP #3
2020
8-1AP #3
2021
11-2AP #4
2022
13-1AP #3
2023
12-2AP #2
2024
10-2AP #1
AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons
Ball State Cardinals
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5, 4:30 PM UTC
Network
BTN
Stadium
Ohio Stadium (The Shoe)