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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 7
TBDAI Prediction

BALL @ NU

Saturday, October 10, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence

Northwestern WildcatsWIN PROBABILITYBall State Cardinals
51%
49%

MODEL PICK

Northwestern Wildcats

CONFIDENCE

53%

1

Home Edge

6

Neutral

0

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Wildcats 50/10050/100 Cardinals

Northwestern Wildcats

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

Ball State Cardinals

50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons

NU rates 50/100 vs BALL at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.

Wildcats 0/1000/100 Cardinals

Northwestern Wildcats

0-0 (0% win rate)

Ball State Cardinals

0-0 (0% win rate)

NU is 0-0 vs BALL at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

33
2024
NU wins2622
2023
BALL wins489
2022
NU wins4522
2021
BALL wins3426
2020
NU wins3324
2019
BALL wins4537

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Northwestern Wildcats

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

Ball State Cardinals

36-36 overall
2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Oct 10, 4:00 AM UTC

Network

TBD

Stadium

Unknown Stadium