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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 11
TBDAI PredictionBALL @ MASS
Wednesday, November 4, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 60% confidence
Massachusetts MinutemenWIN PROBABILITYBall State Cardinals
54%
46%
MODEL PICK
Massachusetts Minutemen
CONFIDENCE
60%
2
Home Edge
5
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Minutemen 50/10050/100 Cardinals
Massachusetts Minutemen
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Ball State Cardinals
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
MASS rates 50/100 vs BALL at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Minutemen 0/1000/100 Cardinals
Massachusetts Minutemen
0-0 (0% win rate)
Ball State Cardinals
0-0 (0% win rate)
MASS is 0-0 vs BALL at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
4–2
2024
MASS wins26 – 21
2023
MASS wins46 – 19
2022
MASS wins37 – 31
2021
MASS wins29 – 20
2020
BALL wins27 – 12
2019
BALL wins39 – 25
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Massachusetts Minutemen
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Ball State Cardinals
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Wed, Nov 4, 5:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Unknown Stadium