Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 2
SECN+AI PredictionAPSU @ VAN
Saturday, September 5, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 53% confidence
Vanderbilt CommodoresWIN PROBABILITYAustin Peay Governors
51%
49%
MODEL PICK
Vanderbilt Commodores
CONFIDENCE
53%
1
Home Edge
6
Neutral
0
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Commodores 50/10050/100 Governors
Vanderbilt Commodores
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Austin Peay Governors
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
VAN rates 50/100 vs APSU at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Commodores 0/1000/100 Governors
Vanderbilt Commodores
0-0 (0% win rate)
Austin Peay Governors
0-0 (0% win rate)
VAN is 0-0 vs APSU at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
3–3
2024
VAN wins43 – 16
2023
VAN wins34 – 9
2022
APSU wins27 – 21
2021
VAN wins41 – 27
2020
APSU wins38 – 12
2019
APSU wins48 – 44
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Vanderbilt Commodores
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Austin Peay Governors
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 5, 11:00 PM UTC
Network
SECN+
Stadium
Unknown Stadium