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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPNAI PredictionArkansas Razorbacks @ Utah Utes
Sunday, September 13, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence
Utah UtesWIN PROBABILITYArkansas Razorbacks
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
Arkansas Razorbacks
CONFIDENCE
55%
2
Home Edge
3
Neutral
2
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Utes 71/10065/100 Razorbacks
Utah Utes
71/100 — 48-25 over 6 seasons
Arkansas Razorbacks
65/100 — 33-39 over 6 seasons
Utah Utes rates 71/100 vs Arkansas Razorbacks at 65/100 — a 6-point gap in program quality.
Utes 0/1000/100 Razorbacks
Utah Utes
0-0 (0% win rate)
Arkansas Razorbacks
0-0 (0% win rate)
Utah Utes is 0-0 vs Arkansas Razorbacks at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
1–5
2024
Razorbacks wins43 – 7
2023
Razorbacks wins25 – 13
2022
Razorbacks wins34 – 27
2021
Razorbacks wins44 – 10
2020
Utes wins40 – 12
2019
Razorbacks wins41 – 29
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Utah Utes
48-25 overall2019
11-3AP #7
2020
3-3
2021
11-3AP #8
2022
10-4AP #5
2023
8-5
2024
5-7
AP Ranked in 3 of 6 seasons
Arkansas Razorbacks
33-39 overall2019
4-8
2020
3-7
2021
9-4AP #8
2022
7-6
2023
4-8
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sun, Sep 13, 2:15 AM UTC
Network
ESPN
Stadium
Rice-Eccles Stadium