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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ESPNAI Prediction

Arkansas Razorbacks @ Utah Utes

Sunday, September 13, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence

Utah UtesWIN PROBABILITYArkansas Razorbacks
48%
52%

MODEL PICK

Arkansas Razorbacks

CONFIDENCE

55%

2

Home Edge

3

Neutral

2

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Utes 71/10065/100 Razorbacks

Utah Utes

71/100 — 48-25 over 6 seasons

Arkansas Razorbacks

65/100 — 33-39 over 6 seasons

Utah Utes rates 71/100 vs Arkansas Razorbacks at 65/100 — a 6-point gap in program quality.

Utes 0/1000/100 Razorbacks

Utah Utes

0-0 (0% win rate)

Arkansas Razorbacks

0-0 (0% win rate)

Utah Utes is 0-0 vs Arkansas Razorbacks at 0-0 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

15
2024
Razorbacks wins437
2023
Razorbacks wins2513
2022
Razorbacks wins3427
2021
Razorbacks wins4410
2020
Utes wins4012
2019
Razorbacks wins4129

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

Utah Utes

48-25 overall
2019
11-3AP #7
2020
3-3
2021
11-3AP #8
2022
10-4AP #5
2023
8-5
2024
5-7

AP Ranked in 3 of 6 seasons

Arkansas Razorbacks

33-39 overall
2019
4-8
2020
3-7
2021
9-4AP #8
2022
7-6
2023
4-8
2024
6-6

AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sun, Sep 13, 2:15 AM UTC

Network

ESPN

Stadium

Rice-Eccles Stadium