Back to CFB Predictions
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI PredictionAppalachian State Mountaineers @ NCSU
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 61% confidence
NC State WolfpackWIN PROBABILITYApp State Mountaineers
45%
55%
MODEL PICK
App State Mountaineers
CONFIDENCE
61%
2
Home Edge
2
Neutral
3
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Wolfpack 50/10063/100 Mountaineers
NC State Wolfpack
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
App State Mountaineers
63/100 — 57-19 over 6 seasons
NCSU rates 50/100 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers at 63/100 — a 13-point gap in program quality.
Wolfpack 0/1000/100 Mountaineers
NC State Wolfpack
0-0 (0% win rate)
App State Mountaineers
0-0 (0% win rate)
NCSU is 0-0 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
Mountaineers wins44 – 19
2023
Mountaineers wins38 – 25
2022
Mountaineers wins42 – 19
2021
NCSU wins23 – 11
2020
Mountaineers wins24 – 15
2019
NCSU wins27 – 11
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
NC State Wolfpack
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
App State Mountaineers
57-19 overall2019
13-1AP #19
2020
9-3
2021
10-3
2022
11-2
2023
6-6
2024
8-4
AP Ranked in 1 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Unknown Stadium