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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 11
TBDAI PredictionAlabama Crimson Tide @ LSU Tigers
Saturday, November 7, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 57% confidence
LSU TigersWIN PROBABILITYAlabama Crimson Tide
47%
53%
MODEL PICK
Alabama Crimson Tide
CONFIDENCE
57%
1
Home Edge
4
Neutral
2
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Tigers 81/10094/100 Tide
LSU Tigers
81/100 — 55-22 over 6 seasons
Alabama Crimson Tide
94/100 — 71-12 over 6 seasons
LSU Tigers rates 81/100 vs Alabama Crimson Tide at 94/100 — a 13-point gap in program quality.
Tigers 69/10069/100 Tide
LSU Tigers
9-4 (69% win rate)
Alabama Crimson Tide
9-4 (69% win rate)
LSU Tigers is 9-4 vs Alabama Crimson Tide at 9-4 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
1–5
2024
Tide wins29 – 15
2023
Tide wins38 – 19
2022
Tide wins38 – 29
2021
Tide wins25 – 10
2020
Tide wins42 – 24
2019
Tigers wins26 – 10
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
LSU Tigers
55-22 overall2019
15-0AP #1
2020
5-5
2021
6-6
2022
10-4AP #7
2023
10-3AP #5
2024
9-4AP #8
AP Ranked in 4 of 6 seasons
Alabama Crimson Tide
71-12 overall2019
13-2AP #1
2020
13-0AP #1
2021
13-2AP #1
2022
11-2AP #6
2023
12-2AP #4
2024
9-4AP #12
AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Tiger Stadium (Death Valley)