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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 4
CBSAI Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide @ LSU Tigers

Saturday, September 26, 2026

AI Condition Layer Analysis

XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 57% confidence

LSU TigersWIN PROBABILITYAlabama Crimson Tide
47%
53%

MODEL PICK

Alabama Crimson Tide

CONFIDENCE

57%

1

Home Edge

4

Neutral

2

Away Edge

Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)

Tigers 81/10094/100 Tide

LSU Tigers

81/100 — 55-22 over 6 seasons

Alabama Crimson Tide

94/100 — 71-12 over 6 seasons

LSU Tigers rates 81/100 vs Alabama Crimson Tide at 94/100 — a 13-point gap in program quality.

Tigers 69/10069/100 Tide

LSU Tigers

9-4 (69% win rate)

Alabama Crimson Tide

9-4 (69% win rate)

LSU Tigers is 9-4 vs Alabama Crimson Tide at 9-4 this season.

Series History (2019–2024)

15
2024
Tide wins2915
2023
Tide wins3819
2022
Tide wins3829
2021
Tide wins2510
2020
Tide wins4224
2019
Tigers wins2610

6-Season Program History (2019–2024)

LSU Tigers

55-22 overall
2019
15-0AP #1
2020
5-5
2021
6-6
2022
10-4AP #7
2023
10-3AP #5
2024
9-4AP #8

AP Ranked in 4 of 6 seasons

Alabama Crimson Tide

71-12 overall
2019
13-2AP #1
2020
13-0AP #1
2021
13-2AP #1
2022
11-2AP #6
2023
12-2AP #4
2024
9-4AP #12

AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons

About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.

Game Information

Kickoff

Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 PM UTC

Network

CBS

Stadium

Tiger Stadium (Death Valley)