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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 3
ABCAI PredictionAlabama Crimson Tide @ UK
Saturday, September 12, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 87% confidence
Kentucky WildcatsWIN PROBABILITYAlabama Crimson Tide
35%
65%
MODEL PICK
Alabama Crimson Tide
CONFIDENCE
87%
1
Home Edge
2
Neutral
4
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Wildcats 50/10094/100 Tide
Kentucky Wildcats
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Alabama Crimson Tide
94/100 — 71-12 over 6 seasons
UK rates 50/100 vs Alabama Crimson Tide at 94/100 — a 44-point gap in program quality.
Wildcats 0/1000/100 Tide
Kentucky Wildcats
0-0 (0% win rate)
Alabama Crimson Tide
0-0 (0% win rate)
UK is 0-0 vs Alabama Crimson Tide at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
0–6
2024
Tide wins44 – 14
2023
Tide wins38 – 33
2022
Tide wins35 – 11
2021
Tide wins22 – 10
2020
Tide wins27 – 17
2019
Tide wins34 – 18
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Kentucky Wildcats
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Alabama Crimson Tide
71-12 overall2019
13-2AP #1
2020
13-0AP #1
2021
13-2AP #1
2022
11-2AP #6
2023
12-2AP #4
2024
9-4AP #12
AP Ranked in 6 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 12, 7:30 PM UTC
Network
ABC
Stadium
Unknown Stadium