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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
WEEK 5
TBDAI PredictionAFA @ NEV
Saturday, September 26, 2026
AI Condition Layer Analysis
XGBoost ML model trained on 2019–2025 CFB seasons · 55% confidence
Nevada Wolf PackWIN PROBABILITYAir Force Falcons
48%
52%
MODEL PICK
Air Force Falcons
CONFIDENCE
55%
1
Home Edge
5
Neutral
1
Away Edge
Condition Layers (7 factors analyzed)
Pack 50/10050/100 Falcons
Nevada Wolf Pack
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
Air Force Falcons
50/100 — 36-36 over 6 seasons
NEV rates 50/100 vs AFA at 50/100 — a 0-point gap in program quality.
Pack 0/1000/100 Falcons
Nevada Wolf Pack
0-0 (0% win rate)
Air Force Falcons
0-0 (0% win rate)
NEV is 0-0 vs AFA at 0-0 this season.
Series History (2019–2024)
2–4
2024
AFA wins48 – 23
2023
NEV wins45 – 35
2022
AFA wins34 – 11
2021
AFA wins33 – 19
2020
AFA wins45 – 13
2019
NEV wins32 – 16
6-Season Program History (2019–2024)
Nevada Wolf Pack
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
Air Force Falcons
36-36 overall2019
6-6
2020
6-6
2021
6-6
2022
6-6
2023
6-6
2024
6-6
AP Ranked in 0 of 6 seasons
About this model: Predictions are generated by an XGBoost machine learning model trained on 6+ years of college football data (2019–2025), including win/loss records, scoring offense/defense, AP rankings, strength of schedule, home field advantage, and head-to-head matchup history. Model historical accuracy: ~68%. For entertainment purposes only.
Game Information
Kickoff
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Network
TBD
Stadium
Unknown Stadium